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Placing a Multiple Bet. By Timeform , 17 September Expect Dangerfield to join Menzel and Hawkins up forward on occasion which will make things tough for the Dees defenders which has already shown this season that they are susceptible to breaking down for long periods of the game. The Eagles will be hosting the Pies on Saturday night in Perth in what should be a close game. The Eagles will be welcoming back spearhead Josh Kennedy after a long absence and he will be joining Darling in the forward line which will be tough job for any defense to repel.
Expect Darling to return to his usual role of the link-up transition from half-forward to forward with Kennedy spending the majority of his time in the deep forward position. The smalls of Rioli and Ryan who have been in good form will bring the Pies defenders more headaches and they will have no shortage of goal kicking options as long as they can get the ball inside The midfield is where they will likely struggle with the suspension of Gaff creating a big hole for them and with the return of Treloar, they may struggle to get clean ball inside Luckily for them, they get back gun midfielder Treloar and defenders Howe and Goldsack back this game which will give provide a big boost to their chances of winning.
Grundy will also have a big role to play in what has been a stellar season for him — he should hold the advantage in terms of skill and speed over Lycett and he will be a huge factor in the Pies locking the ball in their forward The big question mark is how the defense of the Pies will hold up with Howe and Goldsack returning from long injury spells as they will be coming up against one of the most dangerous forward lines in the competition.
The Dees finally defeated a team in the top 8 last week in the Eagles, albeit an undermanned Eagles side. We were almost in for another Melbourne set play though with the Dees up for the majority of the game before fading hard in the first half of the last quarter to give the Eagles the lead by 1. Luckily, they were able to finish the game with a few goals of their own. They will need to get the ball in the hands of Melksham who has quickly become one of the Dees most reliable set of hands in their forward line.
Although a top 4 spot is unlikely for the Giants, they will still need to win this game to put a lock on a home final come September. The Giants defense will have their hands full this game if the Dees are firing especially with Shaw out for the season giving Davis and Haynes the tough task of repelling the highest scoring team in the competition. If Davis is still sore from last week, this could spell danger for the Giants with the Dees not afraid to move the ball quickly and score heavily.
To make the top 8, they will need to win against Essendon and need Gold Coast to top their upset of the decade against the Swans with a win against the Cats.
A very unlikely scenario but weirder things have happened! Despite missing finals this year, the bombers have a lot to look forward to next year with a list full of talent and a playing style that seems to have finally come together in the back half of the season.
Although travelling to foreign territory, the Bombers will like their chances in winning their final game of the season. The Pies have had a horror run with injuries lately with at least one player each game seeming to get concussed or pull a hammy.
Luckily for them in this round they will be coming against a Power side that has had their own run in with injuries and this is a must win game for them if they are to get a double-chance come September. The return of De Goey last round was massive with the strong bodied forward kicking 4 goals highlighting his importance to the Pies chances of contending for the flag. The biggest risk to the Pies will be someone pulling another hammy. The Power will be cursing their misfortune after losing a second close game in a row last week, this one a replica of the finals where the Eagles were again able to slot a goal after the siren.
Despite being on top for the majority of the game, the Power were decimated by injuries with their star ruckman the first to go down which was then exacerbated by injuries to Dixon and Houston. He will unlikely be able to maintain the same field presence that he normally does which will allow Grundy to roam the field providing the Pies an extra midfield option. The Crows have been one of the big disappointments of the season with last year grand finalists set to miss out on playing September football this year.
They will lose captain Walker for the reason of the season due to his sling tackle on Giant Kelly, but that may work out in their favour with the big Texan recently being more a hindrance in their forward line than an asset.
Although they should have the personnel advantage over the Roos, their game-plan has been questionable all season with the bomb it long and pray strategy not working out too well for them. With nothing left to lose this season, expect them to try to play the same brand of football that made them one of the most feared teams in After being upset by the Dogs last week, the Roos season is hanging on by a thread and they will need to win these last 2 games to rack up the magical 13 wins which still might not be enough to put them in the top 8.
With Talia still out for the Crows, Ben Brown will be the obvious target up forward for them and the previous Coleman medal leader will need to stick some marks inside 50 which has been a weak point for the Roos this season.
Although their head to head history against the Crows is pretty even, they have never defeated the Crows at Adelaide Oval, with all losses being at substantial margins.
Even though they recorded a comfortable win against the Blues last week, it came at a steep price for the Giants with the injuries of Deledio, Greene, Taylor and Simpson. It was lucky that they were playing against the wooden spooners as they were at times only fielding 16 players on the ground. The silver lining for them in their match against the Crows this week is that they will be getting some of their guns back in Taranto, Shiel, Griffen and Reid.
The run of Shiel will be a welcome addition against the Crows who are almost back at full strength in their midfield. However, the biggest hole in the Giants line-up will be in their tall stocks and expect Lobb to have to play the majority of the match in the Ruck which will limit his influence up forward.
Having to travel to foreign territory after a taxing Showdown is never ideal but the Crows should be up to the Giant challenge in front of them this week with an almost full-strength team making the trip to Sydney. Although they won against the Power last week, their attack was hardly convincing with their game plan seeming to be just to bomb it high and long into their forward line making it easy for defenders to spoil the ball.
They will need to return to their game plan of hitting targets on the lead if they are to win this game and their usually mobile forward line should be up to the task. Another close game is on the cards this week with the Hawks facing off against the Cats at the G with their Round 2 clash resulting in a one-point win for the Hawks in a nail biter. In a Round of close matches, the Cats were on the wrong end last week when they were bested by the Tigers by 3 points. They are currently sitting in 9 th position and will need to win this game to ensure that they will have a spot come September.
In Round 2, Menzel was the most dangerous forward for the Cats kicking 4 goals and he again will be vital if they are to win. The Cats challenge will be in getting the clean ball to them which has been a bit hit or miss this season. Although finals are probably out of reach for them, the Crows will not be lacking motivation in this game and always seem to find their best against their South Australian rivals.
Despite captain Walker being out of form, Greenwood has shown to be dangerous around the stoppages in front of goal and him and Jenkins will likely be the Crows biggest threats. The Power are coming into this match-up with an unchanged line-up after belting the Dogs last week in a low scoring affair.
In what was touted as being one of the strongest forward-lines prior to the season, the Power have struggled in the scoring department recently kicking an average of 72 points in their last 5 games. Dixon is likely to be well-held by Talia this game and the small forwards of Gray and Wingard will need to be a threat if they are to notch back-to-back Showdown victories for the first time in 4 years.
The Hawks kept their finals berth alive last week with a comfortable win over Fremantle and are currently sitting in 7 th spot on a very congested ladder. They would normally relish the opportunity of facing the Bombers holding a good record against their old rivals but will be entering this game against them as slight underdogs. The Hawks have tended to struggle with the quick style of play the Bombers tend to employ as shown in their Round 17 loss to the Lions and for them to win this game, they will need to make sure their defense is well set-up to prevent the quick counter-attack that the Bombers are known for.
The Hawks own forward-line has been dangerous as well recently and their main goal kicking threat will be Breust who has been in spectacular goal-kicking form recently and if they can get the ball in his area, he should have no problems finding the sticks.
A finals position seemed like an impossibility for the Bombers a couple of months ago, but with their win over Sydney last week, the prospect of that happening is still a small chance.
To ensure that they will be in there, they will need to have a perfect record for their final 4 games and this game against the Hawks is probably one of the easier ones. The return of Stringer in this game should help with the big-bodied forward in good form before his injury. The Swans finals and premiership equity took a huge hit last week after they experienced an embarrassing defeat at the hands of the 17 th placed Suns last week in what was the biggest upset in about a decade of AFL.
In an unusual game, the Swans seemed to have no answers to the Suns with the visitors keeping them goalless for 2 quarters. They will need to put the loss in the back of their mind and focus on this task at hand against the Bombers who have been in good form recently. Their midfield has been down on output recently and captain Kennedy will need to rally his troops for them to prove they are still genuine contenders for the flag. The Tigers easily dispatched of the Saints last week and have continued their perfect form in Melbourne this year.
The Pies are gunning for a top 4 spot and winning this game against the top of the ladder Tigers would make that prospect an almost certainty of happening. They will get back tall unit Mason Cox for this game who has after a shaky start to the season quickly proven to be a key player in the Pies best 22 with defenders finding it hard to play on him given the height advantage he normally enjoys. This game will be no exception with the tallest Roos defender standing almost 20cm shorter than the big American.
His ability to bring the ball to ground for his speedy colleagues will be important in this match with the likes of De Goey, Hoskin-Elliott and Stephenson proven goal-kickers. The Roos lost a close one to the Swans last week where they looked like they had it all but won in the dying minutes. They will be coming into this game with an unchanged line-up which is close to their best 22 and will need to win this one to stay in touch with the top 8.
Their midfield led by Cunnington and Higgins has been impressive this season and should be able to go toe-to-toe with the Pies mids with the continued absence of Treloar. However, where the Roos are likely to struggle will be up back where they will have their hands full with the medium-sized forwards of the Pies and experienced defender Thompson will need to be at the height of his game to repel them. After a poor first half to the season, the Bombers have found their form recently having won 4 of their past 5 and are a sneaky chance to make finals.
For them to achieve this, this game against the Dockers is a must win and on paper should be an easy one for them despite dropping one to them earlier in the season.
The Bombers should be able to take advantage of the absence of two of the Dockers most important players in Fyfe and Sandliands and their ability to score heavily and quickly could turn this game into a blow-out. Even with Stringer out, the likes of Fantasia, McKernan and Tippa should be able to put some real heat on the scoreboard. The depleted Dockers registered a huge upset win against the Power last week in what was an ugly game for most of the match.
Although they dominated the territory and inside game, they were wasteful kicking 8. BACK — Essendon After stringing together a couple of consecutive close 2-point wins, the Saints were brought firmly back to reality when they were dominated by the Power last week. The area of the game that continues to haunt them is there efficiency inside 50 with their players trying to find every possible way they can to butcher a goal.
One of the few things Saints fans can be excited about is the form of Armitage who has easily been the Saints best player in recent games and should have another big game this week. This match-up against the bottom of the ladder Blues should be an easy one for them as they will have a much more talented and experienced side on paper with the line of The Blues are an almost certainty now to finish with the wooden spoon after getting thrashed by the Lions last week.
It seems to be the same story for them each week with only a few of the same players turning up to play each week with the rest of the team content to be spectators. Looking at their schedule ahead, this is probably one of only two matches where they will have a genuine chance to get a win and under-fire coach Brendan Bolton will need his Blues to produce something special for him to affirm that he is the right man for the job. In a season that has been disappointing for both teams, the model is siding with the experience of St Kilda and sees the line of The Hawks will be travelling to their surrogate home ground in Launceston this round where they will be looking to avenge their Round 9 loss against the Lions.
Since that loss, the Hawks have been one of the more in-form teams in the competition and have crept into the top 8 after their drubbing of the Western Bulldogs last week.
Although many are writing this off as an easy win for the Hawks, they will need to be cautious of the fast ball movement of the Lions that already exposed their defence once in their Round 9 loss.
The loss of McEvoy will make the job harder for them with Brisbane big man Martin likely to be able to dominate substitute ruckman Ceglar. Hipwood had a big day in their previous game booting 4 goals and given his recent form, will be the main target for the Lions mids up forward. They will need to stick to the same recipe of fast footy that has worked so well for them and not go into their shell as they will be coming up against one of the most potent forward lines in the competition.
This game could very well end up being a shoot-out. The reigning premiers have firmly established themselves as the team to beat and are the clear favourites to take the flag again this year. They have looked near unstoppable at The G with their only three blemishes to their record this year being away from home, one of them being against the Crows.
Although the Round 2 game remained close for the majority of the match, they were smashed in the air with the Tigers seeming to have no answer to the talls of Tex and Jenkins who booted 9 goals between them.
They will have one less thing to worry about this game with Betts out of action but will need to find a way to shut down the tall heavy forward line of the Crows.
Rance will be instrumental in this task and he will need to do a much better job on Jenkins than he did in their previous clash. The Crows kept their finals chances alive by pulling off a huge comeback win against the Eagles last week.
After a prolonged injury slump, the Crows have gotten back the majority of their best 22 with another big in this week in the form of Lynch. We know they have the talent to beat the reigning premiers with the Crows winning 4 of their past 5 clashes … the big variable will be which Adelaide Crows team turns up.
The Lions recorded their second win of the season last week with a point win against the Dockers away from home. The Lions showed in this game just how much they have improved with their constant pressure around the ball and slick ball movement being a stark contrast from the beginning of the season.
This bottom of the ladder clash against the Blues might be more one-sided than their records would suggest with the Lions playing the much better footy as of late.
The Lions will need to avoid getting sucked into the Blues game of slow measured ball movement and if they can continue with their fast-paced style of footy, they should be able to open up the Blues and record their third win of the season. The bottom of the ladder Blues are now firm favourites to take out the wooden spoon this season with their best chance of avoiding that honour being a win against the Lions this week.
Although sitting on a solitary win, there have been a few things to like about the Blues this season, one of them being the sizzling form of Charlie Curnow. Unfortunately for the Blues, they have not had a good record playing at the Gabba with the visitors losing their last 4 here.
The Crows will regain a lot of firepower for this match with the return of Sloane, Laird and Brown. Sloane will take a bit of time to return to his best after being out for so long but will still be able to provide the precise ball movement inside 50 that the Crows have been sorely missing recently. The Crows at home will have all the motivation to get their season back on track with a win over one of the in-form teams of the competition.
After a game winning streak at the start of the season, the Eagles have dropped their last 2 games with a surprise loss to the Bombers last week at home.
The absence of Darling and Kennedy in that game revealed just how important the two forwards are to the team and their lack of a tall threat inside 50 will again be a problem against the Crows. Adding to their woes will be the loss of Frenchy LeCras which will put a further dent in their scoring prospects this game. For the Eagles to win, the likes of Shuey and Yeo will need to threaten the sticks to supplement the gaping hole in their forward line.
The prospects of the Giants reaching the finals took a severe hit this week with spearhead Jeremy Cameron copping a 5-match ban from the tribunal due to his sickening hit on Lions defender Harris Andrews. The loss of their leading goalkicker creates a big hole for the Giants with fellow star forward Toby Greene still a few weeks away from return.
Despite their forward-line concerns, there is enough talent in their midfield that they should be able to control the centre and eke out the win.
The Hawks have had an up and down first half to the season but have managed to string a together a 3-game winning streak and will be eager to make that 4 this week with their first win at Spotless Stadium. He will play a key part in the quality of the inside delivery and if they are able to get the ball to ground in there, their potent forward line should be able to find the sticks with the Giants defense proving to be shaky against the better teams in the competition.
After a shaky start to the season, the Power have played some superb footy in recent rounds to prove that they are genuine premiership contenders this year. The return of hard-nut defender Tom Jonas is a crucial inclusion but the talent in the Dees forward line may be too much for the Power to handle.
Prior to that, the Dees were riding a 6-game winning streak where a key feature in their dominance was their ability to move the ball quickly and effortlessly down the field. However, these 6 wins have all been against bottom-8 sides and this game against the Power in foreign territory will prove whether the Dees this season are the real deal or merely just flat-track bullies. The battle of the All-Australian ruckmen Gawn and Ryder will be a highlight in this match and Gawn will have to be on the top of his game if the Dees are to get the W with his role in their structure being instrumental to their chances of winning.
Despite sitting on a solitary win, the Lions have a lot to look forward to with a marked improvement in how they have played in recent rounds compared to early in the season.
With Lobb out, big man Martin should have his way against the Giants duo of Simpson and Patton and he will need to ensure he gives his team first use to compensate for the skill difference in the midfield.
The Lions have not won a game the last 5 times these teams have played but if they can get the win here, they will have the tangible evidence that they are heading in the right direction. After a prolonged form and injury slump, the Giants were able to string a couple of wins together against the Crows and the Suns before the bye.
This coupled with the fact that the Giants have historically not been great travellers means we may have a more competitive game than most would think on our hands. The Swans have their toughest task ahead of them on Friday Night as they come up against the top of the leaderboard Eagles who will be keen to avenge their Round 1 loss.
Despite it being a competitive contest for the majority of the match, the key factor in that game was Franklin who booted 8. Given how the Swans star forward has been moving around in recent games, he could be in for another big night and the loss of Eagles key defender Barrass will make the job easier for him. Probably the most pivotal match-up will be between Sinclair and Naitanui with the Eagles star ruckman dominating his former team-mate in Round 1. However, the Swans big man has been superb recently and should be able to hold his own just enough for the Swans to exploit their advantage in the midfield.
The Eagles are running red hot riding a game winning streak having not lost a game since their Round 1 loss to the Swans. Without him, a lot of the transition play that the Eagles have been known for may break down as Darling has often been the crucial link man for the Eagles getting the ball out of their back-half and quickly in their forward-half. This game will reveal just how important Darling is to their structure. The Cats have looked dangerous recently with their highly touted midfield finally seeming to come together in recent rounds.
They face a tough task coming against the reigning premiers at the MCG and will need to rely on more than just Dangerwoodlett if they are to notch their biggest win of the season. The midfield battle will be the difference in this game and although the Cats have three of the best mids in the competition, they will be more than evenly matched against the Tigers core midfield group led by superstar Martin.
Although Hawkins has been good recently, he will find it hard to get past Rance who should have the capabilities to shut down the tall forward. Cotchin was quiet last week by his standards and the Captain will need to be on top of his game if they are to eke out the win as they come against their toughest test in the midfield so far.
Look for Dangerfield and Ablett to kick a few goals between them. We keep saying it, but the Roos continue to defy all expectations and are coming into this game 6 th on the ladder, having won 4 of their last 5 games. Sharpshooter Brown will have an easier task ahead of him with Harry Taylor still out with foot issues and getting some clean ball into his hands will be the main challenge for their mids.
Although the Saints are sitting on a solitary win in 16 th position, there may be some hope for them yet with their last 2 games proving that they have the capability to kick accurately, which seemed an impossibility in the earlier rounds. For their clash with the Swans, they will still be without Carlisle which is a big out for them especially given that a big bag from Buddy looms. Although the Swans are coming into this game on a 4-game winning streak, they have looked pretty average in their last two against the bottom of the ladder Lions and Blues.
Luckily for them they have other dangers up forward such as super-rookie Ronke who is capable of finding the sticks in the most unlikely of situations. History will be on their side with the Swans winning the last 5 against the Saints. The Hawks are entering this game on a 3-game losing streak and will be desperate for a win as they travel to Tasmania for the second time this season.
However, McEvoy will have a tough task ahead of him and will not enjoy the advantage he usually has against his counterpart with our model rating Ryder slightly ahead of him. Their duel will be pivotal to the outcome of this game as both forward lines are capable of firing quickly. Travelling to Tasmania to face the Hawks is usually a tough ask for any team but the Power will be embracing the timing of this fixture as they will be well rested after a long break following their match in Shanghai.
The Power have had an up-and-down first half of the season but have shown that they have the talent to beat the best teams when they are firing having taken big scalps of Sydney and Adelaide so far.
This Power should have the advantage over the Hawks in what is likely to be a close match. The Pies are entering Round 11 off the back of a second half drubbing of the Western Bulldogs where they were able to keep the fast starting premiers goalless in the second half. Although their structure has looked shaky at times, the Pies have been playing some quality football in and are odds-on to break their 4-year drought of missing finals footy.
With Sandilands gone, he will have a field day against substitute ruckman Apeness and we see the clearances being one-way traffic in favour of the Pies.
Despite a promising start to the season, the Dockers have been poor recently where nothing has looked easy whether it be scoring goals or getting the ball out of their back-half. Superstar Fyfe will easily be the best player on field but one player can only do so much. The Pies at home should be too good for the Dockers and the model suggests the BACK — Collingwood The Giants injury driven slide continued last week, getting blown off the park in the second half by a Ben Brown inspired Roos.
Josh Kelly is obviously a massive inclusion, but even a player of his class will struggle to have a meaningful impact after such a long absence. After copping it in the media for weeks, the Dons finally responded with a thumping win over an extremely disappointing Geelong. Despite their poor performance this year, the model still sees Essendon as a reasonably strong squad with a solid core of midfielders that should be able to breakeven with the depleted GWS midfield.
If Goddard can spend more time marshalling than berating his backline, they should be able to contain the currently misfiring GWS forwards, whose highest score in the last 5 rounds came against an appalling Brisbane Lions defence.
This will only be the Bombers second game played outside of Victoria this year but we have a sneaky feeling they might enjoy getting away from the blow torches of the Melbourne media for a week. The model has this game as a coinflip and we have a suspicion the package may finally be unwrapped this week against a weak GWS defensive line. A hugely crucial player for their setup, he allows Hogan to maraud the wings, where he is almost impossible to match up on.
The return of Viney last week sees the Demons fielding basically a full-strength squad which has our player model rating them as one of the strongest teams this round. It would be classic Melbourne to drop a game of this significance after such a strong run of form but they look to have Adelaide covered all over the park. Some questionable umpiring and appalling conversion from the Dogs made Adelaide look OK last week, despite missing basically half of their best 22 to injury.
Eddie Betts had a vintage game last week, but we think his incredible wet weather skills masked some serious issues with the Crows forward line down to Jenkins as its lone big man.
In Round 9, the Roos will be returning to their surrogate home-ground in Tasmania with their first appearance there resulting in a thorough flogging of the Blues by 86 points. However, in what has been an unpredictable , the Roos will start as favourites against a Giants outfit that continues to get decimated by injuries. One thing we do know is that the Roos love to play in Tasmania having won 8 of their last 10 matches at Blundstone.
The Orange Tsunami have been playing like a shadow of the premiership favourite team they once were and while some of that can be attributed to key injuries, a large part of it is also a clear drop in effort in recent games. Their injury woes get worse this round with Davis and DeBoer added to their growing injury list leaving them with a team missing almost half of their best Their biggest concerns will be in their backline with our model rating all their defenders as below average with the exception of Shaw.
There will have to be a significant increase in effort in their midfield to take the heat off their defenders and their ability to keep the ball in their forward half will be critical to their chances to winning.
After winning their first two games of the season, the Suns have dropped 5 of their last 6, with the lone win coming from the bottom of the ladder Lions. The Suns will still be without their co-captain Lynch and the loss of Sam Day to suspension will put further strain on their forward line.
The Suns have shown they can be competitive and May will need to organise his troops up back to ensure that they can repel the quick inside 50 attack that the Power is known for or else they may be in for a big score posted against them. The Power are coming into this game after a thrilling Showdown finish where a Motlop goal in the last minute stole the win from a fast finishing Crows.
The Power have had an up and down season but showed last week that when they play at their best, they are able to contend with the top teams in the competition. They will be fielding an unchanged line-up from last week and the clear mismatch will be in their forward line which should be too much for the Suns defense to handle.
One thing we know about the Power is that they love to post large scores against the poorer teams and this match falls into that category. All-Australian Robbie Gray will likely play the majority of the game up-forward and expect him to be their main target as the Suns will find it hard to contain his mobility and strength in the contest. The last time these two met in Shanghai, it was a one-sided affair with the Power winning by The Power should be too strong for the Suns and we see the line on the Power of The Hawks are coming into this game sitting pretty on a record in 4th position after having downed the Bombers in Round 7.
There has been a lot to like about the Hawks so far, including their ability to pick out free targets and move the ball effectively up the field and their relatively high efficiency in front of goal in a season where most teams have been wasteful.
They will be facing their archrivals tonight in what will surely be a scrappy tightly contested game where goals will be hard to come by, aided by the forecast weather conditions. Given this, clearances will be even more important in this game and the likes of McEvoy and Mitchell will need to combine to jam the ball into their forward 50 and let their roving forwards pick up some scrappy goals as marks will likely be hard to come by.
The Hawks have had the upper hand against the Swans recently winning 4 of the past 5. Despite entering that game as significant favourites, they were on the back foot for most of the game and despite having some patches of ascendancy, they were unable to convert that on the scoreboard. They will need a significant lift in their work-rate if they are to bounce back and win against the Hawks but what history has told us is that these two teams always seem to find their best footy when they face each other.